Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AIOZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 0.291665 0.345913 0.406695 0.479739 0.565027 0.661353 0.778286
2024-10-06 0.221839 0.296948 0.390896 0.516521 0.679539 0.883304 1.156633
2024-10-13 0.167292 0.250706 0.366229 0.536567 0.779731 1.112463 1.599935
2024-10-20 0.133167 0.221440 0.355622 0.571759 0.907778 1.405873 2.194229
2024-10-27 0.107617 0.197064 0.345188 0.603802 1.038007 1.729330 2.901029
2024-11-03 0.085269 0.171014 0.324878 0.614396 1.136149 2.022828 3.621715
2024-11-10 0.072141 0.157234 0.321478 0.652088 1.286785 2.429540 4.605736
2024-11-17 0.059071 0.139491 0.305936 0.663150 1.391046 2.774400 5.545940
2024-11-24 0.046645 0.119145 0.279747 0.646444 1.437633 3.020742 6.348720
2024-12-01 0.034725 0.096010 0.241344 0.594292 1.400101 3.096096 6.832806
2024-12-08 0.028751 0.085352 0.227991 0.593854 1.471750 3.403028 7.835640
2024-12-15 0.022946 0.073166 0.207647 0.571821 1.489610 3.598166 8.634673
2024-12-22 0.017698 0.061008 0.184874 0.540493 1.485033 3.757530 9.419862
2024-12-29 0.015189 0.056212 0.180738 0.557539 1.606397 4.235452 11.035546
2025-01-05 0.012783 0.050824 0.173423 0.564384 1.704519 4.680401 12.665538
2025-01-12 0.011295 0.048023 0.173152 0.591995 1.866771 5.319359 14.898387
2025-01-19 0.009998 0.045394 0.172685 0.619228 2.035397 6.009196 17.391605
2025-01-26 0.008525 0.041415 0.166434 0.626475 2.147559 6.570967 19.653902
2025-02-02 0.007730 0.039924 0.168552 0.662559 2.357729 7.445995 22.927612
2025-02-09 0.006676 0.036777 0.163495 0.672370 2.487144 8.115623 25.747751
2025-02-16 0.005481 0.032335 0.151803 0.654604 2.521441 8.512083 27.855477
2025-02-23 0.004176 0.026576 0.132441 0.601359 2.420115 8.475014 28.672500
2025-03-02 0.003564 0.024180 0.126701 0.600630 2.506797 9.048790 31.464858